Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Christian Garin		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.74	2.1
	1.8	2.02
	1.88	2.04
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2.01	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
53.4%

Tommy Paul
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	0%	41.4%

Christian Garin - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Paul will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Garin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Pedro Cachin - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Christian Garin - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Christian Garin - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
21.04.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Challenger
07.05.23	Tommy Paul - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Tommy Paul - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
05.05.23	Tommy Paul - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
04.05.23	Tommy Paul - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.22	Christian Garin - Tommy Paul	3:1
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Christian Garin - Tommy Paul	1:2
ATP Challenger
23.01.18	Tommy Paul - Christian Garin	0:2

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