Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estoril 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:50	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	21:50	Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	20:50	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	20:50	TV2 Play
Finland	21:50	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	20:50	Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	20:50	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	20:50	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	21:50	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	20:50	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Alexander Blockx		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.58	1.61
	2.35	1.59	Watch
	2.45	1.58	Watch
	2.39	1.58	Watch
	2.41	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.56)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
39.3%

Luciano Darderi
60.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Blockx (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blockx (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Darderi (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 38. Darderi is ranked ATP: 21.

Recent performances by Blockx have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Darderi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blockx won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.05%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP Estoril
24.07.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
14.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Alexander Blockx - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
ATP London
15.06.26	Alexander Blockx - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLL?
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Estoril
24.07.26	Jaime Faria - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi	Canceled

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