Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Daniel Vallejo		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.80	1.42
	2.85	1.42	Watch
	3.15	1.43
	2.95	1.42	Watch
	3.10	1.37	Watch
	2.96	1.40	Watch
	2.70	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
32.4%

Luciano Darderi
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 71. Darderi is ranked ATP: 18.

Vallejo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.72%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Marvin Moeller - Daniel Vallejo	Vallejo D. Retired ✺
07.07.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWW?W
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Luciano Darderi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.26	Luciano Darderi - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches