Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Bublik		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.79	1.5
	2.79	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.47)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
35%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Bublik (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 20%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 10. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 2.

Bublik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aliassime-Auger is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aliassime-Auger will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Hugo Nys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
08.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
01.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Montpellier
03.02.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Basel
28.10.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Hamburg
23.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Shanghai
08.10.19	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired

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