Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Daniel Altmaier		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.7	2.16	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
55.9%

Alexander Bublik
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bublik (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 71. Bublik is ranked ATP: 76.

Altmaier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bublik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Altmaier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Altmaier could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Flavio Cobolli - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

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