Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Alexander Bublik		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.68	2.31
	1.61	2.31	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	2.22 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
57.7%

Bu Yunchaokete
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bu Yunchaokete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bu Yunchaokete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Alexander Bublik - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Yunchaokete (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 76. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 73.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francesco Passaro	Passaro F. retired ✺
15.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 W?WWL

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