Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Margaret Court Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Alexander Bublik		Jenson Brooksby

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.69	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.29	3.74	Watch
	1.27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.26)	3.72 ↓ (3.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
74.4%

Jenson Brooksby
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Jenson Brooksby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Alexander Bublik - Jenson Brooksby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Brooksby (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 36 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 80%). Brooksby (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 10. Brooksby is ranked ATP: 48.

Bublik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brooksby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
11.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jenson Brooksby - James Watt	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
08.08.22	Alexander Bublik - Jenson Brooksby	0:2

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