Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: Grandstand (New York)


	Alexander Bublik		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.5
	1.59	2.4
	1.58	2.55
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	2.46 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
61.2%

Dominic Thiem
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alexander Bublik - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 28 - 66.7%). Thiem will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 52.4% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bublik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.23	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
07.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Maximilian Marterer	3:0 ✺
06.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
05.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Laslo Djere - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
30.05.19	Dominic Thiem - Alexander Bublik	3:1

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