Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Sumit Nagal		Alexander Donski

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.17	4.8
	1.20	4.29	Watch
	1.19	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.33)	4.48 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
79.1%

Alexander Donski
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Donski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sumit Nagal - Alexander Donski Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 290. Donski is ranked ATP: 723.

Recent performances by Nagal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Donski has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nagal is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Jerome Kym - Sumit Nagal	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 ?WLWW
- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Alexander Donski - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Alexander Donski - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Alexander Donski - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Alexander Donski - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLL

Sumit Nagal - Alexander Donski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide