Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Alexander Ritschard		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.83	1.99
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2)	1.94 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
51.6%

Fabio Fognini
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Ritschard's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alexander Ritschard - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ritschard will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Fognini will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ritschard: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Ritschard will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ritschard is ranked ATP: 133. Fognini is ranked ATP: 114.

Fognini is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Ritschard - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.25	Christian Garin - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Alexander Blockx - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Alexander Ritschard - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Alexander Ritschard - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide