Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Fabio Fognini		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	6.5	1.11	Watch
	7	1.09	Watch
	6.2	1.12	Watch
	6.15	1.12	Watch
	7	1.1	Watch
	6.15	1.12	Watch
	6.2	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↑ (4.23)	1.11 ↓ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
14.7%

Francisco Cerundolo
85.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

77.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Fabio Fognini - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games, 1st Set - Fognini (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 18.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Fognini (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Fognini (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fognini (votes: 3 - 75%). Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 99. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 23.

Fognini is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Miami
26.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

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