Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Arthur Fils

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.53	2.48
	1.51	2.54
	1.51	2.63
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.57	Watch
	1.49	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.68)	2.57 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
63.3%

Arthur Fils
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Shevchenko's performance.

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Fils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Shevchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Fils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alexander Shevchenko - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Shevchenko will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shevchenko is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shevchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Ryan Peniston - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	David Goffin - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
04.05.23	Quentin Halys - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Arthur Fils - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

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