Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.43	1.56
	2.5	1.53
	2.77	1.51
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.68	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
36.6%

Sebastian Baez
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	0%	43.5%

Alexander Shevchenko - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Shevchenko will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Baez will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shevchenko: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shevchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
08.05.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Oscar Otte - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Sebastian Baez - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

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