Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Gustavo Heide		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.88	1.45
	2.89	1.45
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.43)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
34.7%

Facundo Bagnis
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Bagnis will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bagnis: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Heide is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bagnis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bagnis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bagnis will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bagnis to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Heide won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
15.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Karl Friberg - Gustavo Heide	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWL?
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
15.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis	2:1
17.11.22	Facundo Bagnis - Gustavo Heide	2:0

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