Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Gustavo Heide		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.68
	2.28	1.68
	2.2	1.62
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
42.7%

Gianluca Mager
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gustavo Heide - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mager will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Heide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mager will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Karl Friberg - Gustavo Heide	Canceled ✺
02.02.24	Elias Ymer - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWL?L
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Valerio Aboian - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
02.02.24	Federico Coria - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL

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