Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Alexander Zverev		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.47	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.82	Watch
	1.48	2.75
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
64.3%

Alex De Minaur
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 3 - 75%). De Minaur will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2., and De Minaur is ranked ATP: 9..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 2.

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zverev holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Zverev has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:12 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Shanghai
13.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Shanghai
13.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Alex Molcan	De Minaur A. win ✺
ATP Beijing
06.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. Retired ✺
05.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW???

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
26.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	1:2
20.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.24	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	3:0
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP United Cup
06.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	2:1
ATP Roma
12.05.22	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Vienna
28.10.21	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	1:2

Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide