Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Final

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Novak Djokovic		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.50	2.60
	1.54	2.50	Watch
	1.52	2.61	Watch
	1.54	2.50
	1.50	2.65	Watch
	1.50	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.54 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
62.6%

Alex De Minaur
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 22.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Novak Djokovic will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Novak Djokovic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Djokovic is ranked ATP: 11., and De Minaur is ranked ATP: 9..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djokovic won 3.

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

De Minaur may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Djokovic holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Djokovic has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Beijing
05.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	Djokovic N. Awarded ✺
04.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Nuno Borges - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Mariano Navone - Novak Djokovic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?WWWL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Beijing
05.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Alex De Minaur - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 ?WWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	1:3
10.07.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP United Cup
03.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	2:0
ATP Australian Open
23.01.23	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	0:3

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