Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Alexander Bublik		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.10	1.73
	2.25	1.62
	2.12	1.72
	2.17	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.69
	2.14	1.74
	2.09	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
44.3%

Brandon Nakashima
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 22., and Nakashima is ranked ATP: 18..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.51%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

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