Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monte Carlo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:30	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	08:30	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	14:30	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	13:30	Oneplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	13:30	Ziggo Sport 4
United Kingdom	12:30	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Zverev		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	5	1.18	Watch
	5.55	1.19
	4.8	1.2	Watch
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.8	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.65)	1.19 ↓ (1.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
19.1%

Jannik Sinner
80.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

79.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sinner will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jannik Sinner will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 0.

Zverev is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sinner is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 79.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
27.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
12.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Paris
01.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Vienna
26.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:1
ATP Australian Open
26.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	3:0
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:1

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