Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Alexander Zverev		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4.34	Watch
	1.22	4.82
	1.22	4.36	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.23	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	4.38 ↑ (3.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
78.2%

Matteo Arnaldi
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Zverev's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Zverev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Arnaldi (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 25%). Arnaldi (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 41.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zverev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Alexander Zverev - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1

Upcoming Matches