Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, HBO Max, Oneplay


	Alexander Zverev		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.20	4.60
	1.19	4.48
	1.22	5.17
	1.21	4.46	Watch
	1.2	4.9
	1.21	4.54	Watch
	1.2	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 (1.2)	4.65 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
79.4%

Karen Khachanov
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Khachanov (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Zverev (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +6 Games - Khachanov (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 2 - 40%). Khachanov (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 50.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 3.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

In this match, Zverev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP US Open
09.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
09.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	Khachanov K. retired
ATP Toronto
06.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.21	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Montreal
09.08.19	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Paris
02.11.18	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	0:2

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