Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CHENGDU (CHINA), HARD - FINAL

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Eurosport 1


	Alexander Zverev		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.3
	1.36	3.49
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.32	Watch
	1.32	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
71.9%

Roman Safiullin
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Safiullin will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Safiullin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zverev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zverev is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zverev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Chengdu
25.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	3:0 ✺
04.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Chengdu
25.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Jordan Thompson - Roman Safiullin	Thompson J. retired ✺
22.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
02.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin	3:0

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