Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Tommy Paul		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.32	3.4
	1.31	3.6
	1.29	4.02
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.31	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	3.61 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
73.5%

Roman Safiullin
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roman Safiullin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.7%	0%	3.3%

Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Tommy Paul - Stefano Travaglia	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
16.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
12.08.23	Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Roman Safiullin - Marco Cecchinato	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.23	Roman Safiullin - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
11.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Roman Safiullin - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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