Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Alexandre Muller		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.82	2	Watch
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.82	1.99	Watch
	1.78	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
51.8%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ugo Carabelli (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 41. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
02.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexandre Muller	Ugo Carabelli C. retired
ATP Challenger
16.06.22	Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1

Upcoming Matches