Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.53)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
57.3%

Hugo Gaston
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63. Gaston is ranked ATP: 84.

Two players are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 59.84%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Hugo Gaston - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Bucharest
02.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWLWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Marrakech
03.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Hugo Gaston - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
18.03.25	Hugo Gaston - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWL?L

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide