Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Tennis


	Pavel Kotov		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.54	2.61
	1.49	2.69	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.46	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	2.63 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
63.7%

Duje Ajdukovic
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Pavel Kotov - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajdukovic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajdukovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
29.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
27.05.24	Cameron Norrie - Pavel Kotov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

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