Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom), grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 July 2024, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Pavel Kotov		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.1	1.22	Watch
	4.43	1.25
	3.9	1.29
	4	1.25
	4.04	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.98)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
23.1%

Jordan Thompson
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavel Kotov's form might have worsened.

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jordan Thompson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jordan Thompson is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
29.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
27.05.24	Cameron Norrie - Pavel Kotov	2:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
23.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Mallorca
24.06.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP London
22.06.24	Jordan Thompson - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
21.06.24	Jordan Thompson - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Jordan Thompson - Andy Murray	Murray A. retired ✺
17.06.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 ?LW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:1

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