Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports


	Alexandre Muller		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	3
	1.42	3
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.39	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	2.91 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
67.4%

Richard Gasquet
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richard Gasquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richard Gasquet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	0%	4.2%

Alexandre Muller - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gasquet is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gasquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Roma
14.05.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Arthur Fils - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Radu Albot - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWWW
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Roma
07.05.24	Maximilian Marterer - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Richard Gasquet - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Adrian Mannarino - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Harold Mayot - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Richard Gasquet	2:0
ATP Challenger
04.05.22	Richard Gasquet - Alexandre Muller	0:2

Alexandre Muller - Richard Gasquet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide