Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Messina M. (San)


	Nicolas Jarry		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.69
	1.53	2.69
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.51	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	2.62 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
63.4%

Alexandre Muller
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Nicolas Jarry - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Muller will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Jarry is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muller in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jarry will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Nicolas Jarry - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Arthur Fils - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Radu Albot - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Emilio Nava - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.05.22	Alexandre Muller - Nicolas Jarry	0:2

Nicolas Jarry - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide