Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Tourte A. (Fra)


	Arthur Fils		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.74	2.21
	1.68	2.34
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.67	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
57.4%

Alexandre Muller
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Arthur Fils - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Fils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muller is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Arthur Fils - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Radu Albot - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Emilio Nava - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Jaume Munar - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

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