Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Alexander Bublik		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.97	1.91
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.78	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.11)	2 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
52.3%

Roman Safiullin
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roman Safiullin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Safiullin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Safiullin will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 76. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 77.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roman Safiullin - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	Lajovic D. retired ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Alexander Bublik	2:0
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.05.20	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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