Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:40	ESPN
Australia	11:40	Stan Sport
Belgium	01:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:40	HBO Max
Brazil	21:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:40	HBO Max
Canada	19:40	RDS App
Colombia	19:40	ESPN
Croatia	01:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:40	HBO Max
Denmark	01:40	HBO Max
Finland	02:40	HBO Max
France	01:40	HBO Max
Hungary	01:40	HBO Max
Mexico	18:40	ESPN
Moldova	02:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:40	HBO Max
Norway	01:40	HBO Max
Peru	19:40	ESPN
Poland	01:40	HBO Max
Romania	02:40	HBO Max
Serbia	01:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:40	HBO Max
Spain	01:40	HBO Max
Sweden	01:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:40	Discovery+
Usa	19:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:40	ESPN


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.03	1.38	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.21	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (4.15)	1.38 ↑ (1.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
30.8%

Jasmine Paolini
69.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

77.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jasmine Paolini will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 102. Paolini is ranked WTA: 7.

Sasnovich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paolini is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sasnovich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Daria Snigur	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Ksenia Efremova	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
08.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Clara Tauson - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
WTA Finals
06.11.25	Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Palermo
05.08.20	Jasmine Paolini - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Jasmine Paolini