Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.34	1.64
	2.27	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	1.58 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
40.9%

Tristan Schoolkate
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alibek Kachmazov - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 185. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 122.

Now, both players are in good form.

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Schoolkate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Schoolkate will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alibek Kachmazov - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Alibek Kachmazov - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Adam Walton - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Jason Kubler - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
29.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Jason Kubler - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 W?WLW

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