Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Joao Fonseca		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.07	1.85
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.06	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.75)	1.77 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
46.1%

Christian Garin
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Fonseca's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.3%	0%	48.7%

Joao Fonseca - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 20 - 51.3%). Garin will win (votes: 19 - 48.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.6% – 67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.24	Francisco Comesana - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Joao Fonseca - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Joao Fonseca - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Christian Garin	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.24	Marco Cecchinato - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.24	Christopher OConnell - Christian Garin	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 W?LL?

Joao Fonseca - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide