Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.96	1.42
	2.38	1.54	Watch
			Watch
	2.79	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.21)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
34.8%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Guillen Meza's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 226. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 268.

Guillen Meza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diaz Acosta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Hugo Dellien - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide