Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.94
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	2.76 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
66.3%

Miguel Damas
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Damas will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Damas (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 3 - 60%). Damas (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205. Damas is ranked ATP: 303.

In recent matches, Guillen Meza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Damas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guillen Meza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
28.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Stefan Palosi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Miguel Damas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide