Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Andrea Guerrieri		August Holmgren

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	1.98	1.78
	2.09	1.71
	2.07	1.81
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.04	1.76
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.21)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
45.6%

August Holmgren
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Andrea Guerrieri - August Holmgren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 189. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 226.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Holmgren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Holmgren will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.02%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Alexander Donski - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	August Holmgren - Braden Shick	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	August Holmgren - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
23.07.26	August Holmgren - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	August Holmgren - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?LWL

Andrea Guerrieri - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide