Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
	1.62	2.16
	1.68	2.28
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	2.2 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
57.5%

Lorenzo Carboni
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlo Alberto Caniato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 376. Carboni is ranked ATP: 480.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Laslo Djere - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Miguel Damas - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Alessandro Spadola - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide