Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Arthur Fery

	1	2
			Watch
	2.07	1.68
	2.22	1.73
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
45.3%

Arthur Fery
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Andrea Guerrieri - Arthur Fery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 338. Fery is ranked ATP: 161.

Guerrieri is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fery has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Fery - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Federico Bondioli - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Martinez - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Dan Added - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Arthur Fery - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Arthur Fery - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL

Andrea Guerrieri - Arthur Fery: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide