Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
52.1%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Andrea Pellegrino - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Herbert will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Herbert: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 263. Herbert is ranked ATP: 150.

Pellegrino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Herbert is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.27%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Gauthier Onclin - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Hynek Barton - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Andrea Pellegrino - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide