Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Denia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Andres Santamarta Roig		Lorenzo Angelini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.41	2.70
	1.42	2.90
	1.39	2.7	Watch
	1.39	2.85
	1.40	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Santamarta Roig
66.3%

Lorenzo Angelini
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Santamarta Roig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lorenzo Angelini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Santamarta Roig than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andres Santamarta Roig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Angelini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andres Santamarta Roig - Lorenzo Angelini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Santamarta Roig is ranked ATP: 727. Angelini is ranked ATP: 575.

Santamarta Roig is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Angelini has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Angelini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santamarta Roig is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Santamarta Roig
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Lorenzo Angelini
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Angelini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Andrej Martin - Lorenzo Angelini	Martin A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWLW?

Andres Santamarta Roig - Lorenzo Angelini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide