Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Andrey Rublev		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.56
	1.29	3.58	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.34	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.23)	3.49 ↓ (4.13)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
72.6%

Gabriel Diallo
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Diallo (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Diallo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrey Rublev will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 3 - 60%). Diallo (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 17. Diallo is ranked ATP: 38.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rublev is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 77.05%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Adam Walton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Gabriel Diallo - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WL?L?

Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide