Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3	Watch
	1.36	3.18
	1.42	2.88	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
68.9%

Rio Noguchi
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nishioka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rain delay.

Nishioka is ranked ATP: 157. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 209.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nishioka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nishioka is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nishioka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yi Zhou	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?L?L?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Tokyo
21.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Oliver Crawford - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL

Yoshihito Nishioka - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide