Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.33	3.33	Watch
	1.67	2.23	Watch
	1.63	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
59.4%

Alexander Shevchenko
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishioka: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Shevchenko will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishioka is ranked ATP: 157. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 88.

Nishioka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shevchenko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nishioka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Yoshihito Nishioka - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.42%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW?L?
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Taro Daniel - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Gael Monfils	Monfils G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 ?LWW?

Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide