Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 24 September 2025, Wednesday
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Yoshihito Nishioka |
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Luciano Darderi |
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- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Yoshihito Nishioka 41.6% | Luciano Darderi 58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishioka: 49.9% – 90.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yoshihito Nishioka will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Nishioka is ranked ATP: 151. Darderi is ranked ATP: 30.In recent matches, Nishioka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Darderi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.6. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;