Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: INDIAN WELLS (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:15	SportKlub
Bulgaria	00:15	Max Sport 1
Croatia	23:15	SportKlub
Czech Republic	23:15	Premier Sport 3
Finland	00:15	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	23:15	Eurosport 1
Germany	23:15	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	22:15	Sport TV6
Romania	00:15	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	23:15	SportKlub
Slovenia	23:15	SportKlub


	Andy Murray		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.74	2.2
	1.73	2.22
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.66	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
56.3%

David Goffin
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andy Murray's performance.

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Goffin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andy Murray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Goffin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Andy Murray - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Goffin will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murray: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murray won 4.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Murray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Murray will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Murray won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Andy Murray - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Alexandre Muller - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Tomas Machac - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- David Goffin
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
04.03.24	Maxime Cressy - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.24	David Goffin - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Alex De Minaur - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Dino Prizmic - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sydney
13.01.22	David Goffin - Andy Murray	Goffin D. retired
ATP Shenzhen
27.09.18	David Goffin - Andy Murray	0:2
Abu Dhabi Exhibition
30.12.16	Andy Murray - David Goffin	0:2
ATP Shanghai
14.10.16	David Goffin - Andy Murray	0:2
ATP Roma
13.05.16	David Goffin - Andy Murray	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
29.11.15	David Goffin - Andy Murray	0:3
ATP Paris
05.11.15	David Goffin - Andy Murray	0:2

Andy Murray - David Goffin