Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Burgas, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Angela Fita Boluda		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.10	1.65
	2.07	1.66	Watch
	2.01	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angela Fita Boluda
44.7%

Federica Urgesi
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angela Fita Boluda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angela Fita Boluda than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Angela Fita Boluda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federica Urgesi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Angela Fita Boluda - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fita Boluda is ranked WTA: 226., and Urgesi is ranked WTA: 267..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Fita Boluda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fita Boluda has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federica Urgesi - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angela Fita Boluda
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Angela Fita Boluda	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Kira Pavlova - Angela Fita Boluda	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Sofia Camila Rojas - Angela Fita Boluda	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Elena Milovanovic - Angela Fita Boluda	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Angela Fita Boluda - Yasmine Kabbaj	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL
- Federica Urgesi
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Oksana Selekhmeteva	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Clara Burel - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Oceane Babel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.10.22	Federica Urgesi - Angela Fita Boluda	2:1

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