Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.67	2.12	Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.84	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	2 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
53.2%

Daniel Vallejo
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Antoine Ghibaudo - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghibaudo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 470. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 244.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vallejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Spencer Johnson	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Pranav Kumar	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Jack Anthrop	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Pierluigi Basile - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

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