Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.28	3.3	Watch
	1.18	4.15	Watch
	1.24	4.12
	1.25	3.77	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.22	4.38	Watch
	1.39	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	3.79 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
75.1%

Daniel Vallejo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Vallejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Vallejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Vallejo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Vallejo (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 186. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 246.

Diaz Acosta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Vallejo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Lukas Klein - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Pierluigi Basile - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL

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