Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	2.03	1.85
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
48%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Antoine Ghibaudo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ghibaudo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bailly will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 338. Bailly is ranked ATP: 209.

Ghibaudo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bailly is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Matt Ponchet	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo	Canceled ✺
24.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Timeo Trufelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WW?LW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Antoine Ghibaudo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide